Impacts to eastern North Carolina are likely as low pressure develops off the Southeast coast over the next couple of days and tracks toward the Carolinas through the weekend. While the probability that this low will become tropical has increased a little to 40%, we want to emphasize that impacts are not directly related to whether or not this system gets named. 

Localized heavy rainfall is likely, especially along the coast, beginning Friday. However, the threat for strong winds and coastal impacts is very dependent on the track and strength of the low, and is very uncertain that this time. Please see the attached briefing for our latest thinking.